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Is recession coming? Non-technical guide to recessions and how to survive one [2020]

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recession definition

Is recession coming?

The objective of this article is to address aspects of recession, not just what it is but what to do if you are impacted by it.  

Some of these lessons come from our own lives as we lived through the last great recession of 2008.  We hope you find the information useful.

If you would like to add some pointers for others’ benefit, please let us know.

Recession 2020

What is a recession and how is it different from depression?

recession vs depressionUps and downs are a normal occurrence in any business cycle.  

When the entire economy faces a decline in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for two consecutive quarters, then we are said to be in a recession.

Depression on the other hand is a deeper and longer recession that goes on for 3 years or more.   

For context, since the Great Depression of 1929-1933, we have had over 13 recessions including the great recession of 2007-2009.

Recessions are a more common part of economic cycles.  

What makes this COVID recession different?

covid recessionUnlike the previous recessions, the slowdown of the economy is not related to soundness of the businesses or the fundamentals of our financials.

This recession is a biological one.

That means, we know exactly what caused it and what will end it. 

For instance, the majority of the jobs that are currently on hold or lost will return to the market once we find a cure for COVID.

As long as the governments continue to keep the businesses afloat until normalcy is returned, a major portion of these jobs will return when the economy kick starts.

We will experience bumpiness along the way until we find the cure, however, we should largely come out at the other end of this with minimal damage assuming a vaccine will come out by Q1 2021.

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Shape of recession

A shape is assigned to the recession based on how long they last.  

V shaped recession

When recession lasts from a few months to under a year then it is considered to be a V shaped recession.  V shaped recessions are notorious for flash crashes and surprising rebounds.

Those prepared with short-term cash supply could land on great trades in a V shaped recession.

U shaped recession

When a recession lasts for a year to two years then it is considered a U shaped recession.  U shaped recession tends to have lingering effects on real estate and investment aspects for up to 2 years.

U shaped recessions provide great opportunities to invest in real estate and high value companies at a deep discount.

L shaped recession

L shaped recessions are mini depressions, just that they don’t last as long as a depression does.  L shaped recessions typically last 3 years and up.  

Sometimes, the damage caused by L shaped recessions could have lingering effects for 5 years to a decade.

L shaped recessions scar investors with bad experiences and thus discourage investments for a long time even after the recession has ended.

For those with sufficient liquidity, L shaped recessions could offer once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to invest in high yield assets.

What happens during a recession?

Each recession is different depending on what caused it.

Here is what happened in each of the recessions since the last Great Depression. 

TitleYearCausing FactorDecline in GDPUnemployment
The Great Recession2007-2009Subprime Mortgage and banking crisis4.3%10%
Dot-com Recession2001Over-inflation of tech stocks0.60%5.50%
Gulf War recession1990-1991Iraq invasion on Kuwait spiking oil prices around the world1.10%7%
Energy Crisis recession1981-1982Unmanageable inflation3%10.80%
1980 Recession1980Unmanageable inflation2%7.80%
Oil embargo recession1973-1975Spike in oil prices due to OPEC embargo3.40%9%
Recession of 19691969-1970Tighter monetary policies, cut down on government spending1%6%
Recession of 19601960-1961Rise in interest rates by the Fed Reserve2%6.90%
Recession of 19571957-1958Increase in prices due to increase in interest rates by Fed Reserve3.70%7.40%
Post Korean War recession1953-1954Cut in government spending2.20%6%
Post-WWII slump1948-1949Post war impact2%7.90%
Post WWII recession1945Cut in government spending1.90%11%
The Roosevelt Recession1937-193810%20%

As you can see, while each recession is caused by different factors, the bottom line impact is slower economic progress, spike in unemployment rate and a drop in GDP.

How does a recession impact us?

recission 2019Recessions cause loss in revenue and this puts businesses on back foot.

Many companies pull back on their investment and expansion plans which thwarts the capital movement.

Companies go on a conservative mode which means they don’t hire new people and will resort to cost cutting measures like laying off people.

Here are the things that happen during recession that impact us:

  • Job loss
  • Lack of general sense of optimism
  • Lack of consumer spending
  • Reduced investment activities
  • Reduction in investment in startups 
  • Reduced real estate values
  • Reduced liquidity across all segments of society

All of these impacts are self-explanatory and they increase the effects of recession like a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Strategies to cope with a recession

how to overcome recission

There are strategies one could adopt that can help alleviate the brunt of a recession on personal financial situations.

These strategies are sound disciplines in general but they come very handy when facing a recession.

Diversification of portfolio

We have written an entire article on how to keep investments diversified.  

In essence,  having exposure to short, medium and long term assets is very important.

This way you don’t starve during recession while making sure you are being smart about the future.

You can read the entire article here: Where to invest during a recession?  

Downsize your lifestyle

Does your family need a 6 bed home? 

I have talked to many folks who are slaving their life away to ‘keep up the appearances’.

Many have given me answers that sounded ridiculous to me.  One such answer is ‘those 

two bed rooms are for guests but for now we are using them for storage.’

That is a damn expensive storage for crap that you don’t even know you have (or will ever use).

If your family is large enough to justify the big homes then its fine. 

But see if you are paying a hefty price to keep up the appearances only to realize that no one really gives a fck.

Most people who you were afraid to be judged by will not come to your rescue when you need help.

Stay true to what pleases you, your family and your budget, not what pleases others.

Moving to another State or country

Trees cannot move. They spread their roots as far as they can to find the water and nutrients it needs to grow.

If there is no water and nutrients, they dry and die.  They have no choice.

The biggest perk of being human is that we can move to greener pastures.

When everything seems to be working against you, take a step back and ask yourself honestly – is it time to move?

Moving to a new location has few benefits:

  • Cost of living

You have a choice to move to a lower cost location. During the pandemic – people are abandoning high cost locations like New York and California.

They are leaving the glory of NY and CA for the comfort and savings of places like Tennessee, North Carolina, Texas, etc.,

Is that something you can do?

  • New friends

New places introduce new people to you and some of them will become friends.  Probably the kind of friends you need.

  • New experiences

Life is made up of memories, not things.

New places create new experiences.  New experiences create new memories.

New memories keep life interesting and mind young.

  • Opportunities

Obviously, you are not moving for the sake of it.

You move to pursue opportunities that your current location cannot provide.  

New places will help you create new opportunities for yourself.

There are other perks of moving to a new location in terms of expanding your perspectives, making you open to new experiences, to name a few. 

It is not guaranteed that your move will be smooth or meet your expectations.  It is important to assess what you (and your family) are willing to sacrifice.

You have to assess the pros and cons of moving to a new location before you start packing.

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Side Hustle

The Internet has afforded us access to a lot of opportunities that were not present during the 2008 recession.

We should all be thankful for this opportunity.

Few examples include: 

  • AirBnB: Can you rent out a few rooms or a section of your home on AirBnB?
  • Renting out: If you have separate access to your basement, is it possible to rent it out?
  • Uber: Is driving Uber or Lyft during your spare time an option?  
  • Fiverr: Can you help others with mini-tasks?  Can you lend your skills to entrepreneurs around the world?  You can find a lot of gigs on platforms like Fiverr.
  • Trading: Few folks have learned to trade in traditional stocks and cryptocurrencies as a side hustle and soon became full time traders.  

These are just a few examples I came up with in less than 1 hour of research. I am sure you can come up with hundreds if you dedicated some time each day.

Keep upgrading your skills

Darwin theory of ‘survival of the fittest’ is a cruel law of nature.

It doesn’t care if you are noble or an evil person.  It treats everyone equally.

In the modern day parlance, this means, as long as you can provide value – you receive value in return.

The day the value you provide is no longer needed, you will find yourself out of job (or business).

Only antidote to this predicament is to stay up-to-date.

Either get better at what you are doing or learn a new skill that helps you do what you really want to do.

It won’t be easy.  I can only suspect that it will be worth it.

What NOT to do in a recession?

Spending money that you don’t have

Credits cards are a sure way to fool people into spending money they don’t have.  

We personally have never used more than 10% limit on our credit card and we only spend what we have in our bank to ‘pay off’, that way, we are not surprised when the bill arrives.

During recession, one has to be extra careful around credit card spending.

It is easy to give into the old habits of spending but very difficult to pay off.

Relying too much on one source of income

“Never put all your eggs in one basket,” this concept of diversification is an old one.  Yet, people somehow forget this core principle when it comes to source of income.

If you rely on one source of income, what happens when that source dries out? 

This is even more concerning if your ‘skillset’ is being replaced by AI, robots or offshore services.

Taking on new loans because of low interest rates

It is very tempting to take an home equity loan or line of credit or peer-to-peer loans. 

Why not, they are so easy to take a loan.

A personal loan on a peer-to-peer platform, like SoFi, takes a few minutes to apply and if approved, you receive the money in 24 hours.

However, you have to factor in whether or not you will have the required cash flow to pay off the installments.

More importantly, can you make do without the loan?  Can you cut down on your expenses?

Are you looking to maintain a luxurious lifestyle on borrowed money?

Think again.

Hurt your credit score

Never take out a loan that you cannot pay off or buy a home that is just too big for your budget and miss a mortgage payment or you skip on credit card payments.

These mistakes could hurt your credit score drastically.

When the market rebounds your ability to buy a home or invest in opportunities will become limited if you have a compromised credit score.

Keep an eye on your credit score.

We personally monitor our credit score and activity on CreditKarma. 

Perspectives that can help you during a recession 

what to do in recession

You only need one job

For those who rely heavily on a job for income, remember, the worst that could happen during a recession is that you might lose your job.

This is scary especially when your job is your only source of income.

However, remember, if you were providing value at one employer – it is more likely than not that your skills are required somewhere else.

When everything is said and done, you only need one job.

Staying away from negative statistics that are bombarded on the news channels might help you stay focused and keep your eyes on ‘opportunities’ rather than ‘misfortunes’.

I found a job during the 2007-2008 recession. Being new to the US, I did not know I was supposed to watch news, instead, I was 100% vested in searching for a job.

I found one job. I dedicated myself to it. I never shied away from putting in extra work (with no extra pay).

I personally believe that this helped me stay employed during the recession.  

Focus on what you can bring to the table and search for places where you can put your skills to use.  When you find a job, put into your 100%.  

Is it time to move on?

Many people cry about their jobs and how they despise them.

This is very unfair to the employer and the opportunity that you are hoarding.

Sometimes, mishaps like a recession or getting fired could be an opportunity for new beginnings.

I read somewhere that many new companies are born during times of despair.

This could be partly because those who were otherwise rotting away at a dead end job are forced to ‘offer’ what they were holding back.

Is that you?

In my opinion, nature finds unorthodox ways to bring you face-to-face with the life you always secretly desired.  Is it time to take the plunge?

Thank you for reading and sharing this article. Stay safe and healthy!

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IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER

Everything in this article is an opinion, not an advice of any kind. This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and it is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, investment, legal or other professional advice. Please consult with a professional for specific advice.

We do not endorse or guarantee the accuracy of the information and claims made.

All product and company names are trademarks™ or registered® trademarks of their respective holders. Use of them does not imply any affiliation with or endorsement by them.

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Chasing the Micro Cap Crypto Gems #4 – Skrumble Protocol – Why We Changed Our View On This?

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Micro Cap crypto Gems

The tricky thing about finding micro-cap gems is that we have to find something that fits our crypto framework criteria and still be under $10 Million in the market cap.   

The project that we picked today had a few flags while we were researching and we promptly reached out to the team to clarify.   

You will see our initial views/opinions based on publicly available information and the response from the company.

What is Skrumble Network?

What is Skrumble NetworkThe core concept behind Skrumble Network is that when data is stored in one centralized location (like a Server) it poses the greatest security when it gets hacked.

However, if your data is fragmented and stored on decentralized servers, even that particular decentralized server gets hacked, your data is still secured because the fragmented piece that got hacked is usually incomprehensible.

Skrumble Network helps decentralize the communication protocol by using Blockchain technology.

Skrumble Network helps facilitate File transfers, secure messaging, Video streaming and calling.

how Skrumble network works

Whitepaper describes: “Skrumble Network is a secure, communication-centric blockchain, decentralized communication application and a communication layer for developers to add into any application. With no middle entity or centralized server host in between to censor, block or manipulate any data, Skrumble Network will enable open, global private communication and transactions that are truly community owned and operated.”

One of the distinguishing factors about this project was that it was initially developed with an established company behind this crypto that has been in the business for more than half-a-decade and they know how to deliver a product that is used in the real business world.

Applying our framework

As is our custom, let’s apply the CryptoTapas framework around this project.

Problem

The security around our communications is as old of an issue as the internet itself.

This concern has become more pronounced in the recent years with the news of hacks and breach of confidentiality, and utter disregard for privacy.

Now that COVID has completely changed the way we work (especially working from home), the security around communications is now taking the spotlight again.

If Skrumble Network addresses this issue in a novel, scalable and easy to implement way – it might have a great chance at this massive problem.

Team

Eric Lifson seems to be working on Skrumble Network for over 3 years now, and he was quite accommodative when we reached out to him with questions. 

When we looked at the team page on the Skrumble’s website, with the exception of three members, everyone who is listed on their team’s page is no longer with the company (some since July 2019) and this disappoints us that they have not updated their own team’s profile.

Skrumble Network team

More importantly, if everyone jumped the ship, who is behind the project now?

The flagship app on Skrumble Protocol, GetAlly, shows the team members that are also associated with Skrumble Protocol, however, most of these team members are no longer with Skrumble.

Question for Skrumble Team: Who is working on this project? What is the current team structure?  

[Update: The project informed us that all these people have at one point worked on the project. While the team has downsized to a team of about 6 core people, SKM has a strong brand and past and present members prefer to maintain recognition of their achievements. Moreover, several are still contributing, just not on a full-time basis. Any who do not, the team offers to remove them at any time. This is now more in line with how ongoing DAOs (Decentralized Autonomous Organizations) seem to be operating.]

Partnerships

Skrumble Network’s Ally dApp claims to have a 150K user base.  They also teased about the upcoming partnership to take the DeFi initiative forward.

We actually like the advisor profile associated with the Skrumble Network project one of whom is Anthony Di Iorio, co-founder of Ethereum.

Apart from Anthony, Skrumble has Jeff Pulver who is the co-founder of $3 Billion communication company, Vonage.

That is quite a respectable name association with Skrumble.

Question for Skrumble team: Have there been any changes in the Advisor group (similar to team changes?).

[Update: No. We also still Jin Tu – former CTO of Aion, OAN boardmember and Cofounder of Axis DeFi, who is an Expert Blockchain Architect. 

Redouane Elkamhi,
PhD, Associate Professor at Rotman
Leader in Fintech & Blockchain at the University of Toronto 

Kevin Hsu,
Founder Partner at BlockVC
Investor in Ontology, RSK & QTUM 

Jiangang Wu, PhD
Co-Founder of Fusion
Professor of Finance & Blockchain Economics at Shanghai University] 

Addressable market size

Secured communications, whether it is simple file sharing service or video streaming or chatting is a huge market.

It has only exploded in value in the past few months when people were forced to communicate over the internet instead of in-person meetings.

This trend will only become the norm as the internet becomes more accessible (Elon’s Starlink reality) and companies start restricting travel.

File transfers, messaging, video streaming and calling verticals market size is in $100s of Billions, if not trillions.

Revenue model

Question for Skrumble team: How does Skrumble Network generate revenue?

[Update: The core problem for SKM has actually been the volatility of the utility token model in general. We will address this in more detail later.]

DeFi + Communication?

Skrumble Network’s official blog was silent since October of 2019, although remained very active on Telegram, and resurfaced with an announcement that Skrumble Network is going DeFi. 

The announcement about a partnership with Juggernaut reads “unique custom financial modelling and DeFi deployment, it can enable token projects to have real, sustainable, and modular business models built around their utility model.”

Is this another attempt to exploit the market craze around DeFi?

We asked the team this question directly.

Skrumble Network Roadmap

Question for Skrumble Network Team: What drove this decision to look at DeFi and what unique attributes do you think will help Skrumble succeed in this space? 

How does this Juggernaut help Skrumble’s vision?

[Update: Really, we see two sustainable business models so far in the space – 

  1.     platform tokens (for exchanges) with only room for a few like Huobi or Binance
  2.     DeFi due to the collective staking, lockup and general collateralization of new directions and ability to focus on new industries.

A two-token solution is the only way to do something meaningful and sustainable in my opinion with a utility token. One for utility and one for profit sharing. They are missing the sustainable business model. They don’t have enough usage to reach a critical mass and the DeFi synthetic at least has a chance to have something closer a traditional ‘share’ balanced approach. 

Most proof of stake with inflation models will reach a point where one has to ask where any utility token can be able to sustain beyond initial interest 

This is why we must change the game. 

Basing anything on a pure utility token that fluctuates is basically unsustainable. This is because when people are in the money they just leave to the next hot project. People who operate in DAOs want something more stable to base their livelihoods on. They want something closer to USD that can be more stable and scalable. 

This is an overview of how we see DeFi becoming a crucial component going forward:https://medium.com/juggernaut-defi/skm-partners-with-jgn-to-develop-first-defi-communication-network-20ba9a3ccf38 

What do we like about Skrumble?

We like the fact that Skrumble Technologies has been a technology company since 2014 and it has leveraged some technology and strategic guidance from them in their initial inception.  It has real business with actual clients in the market.  How many of the 6500 cryptos can claim that? 

Additionally, the company has patents to its name and helps them deploy proprietary solutions in the market. 

In addition, we like that the co-founder is quite active in working on building Skrumble Network up. 

You can go to the Telegram and see him responding to the questions posed by the community. 

When we reached out to Eric, he provided a quick ‘highlight’ of Skrumble for someone who is new to the project, we have reproduced what Eric shared with us below (we have not independently verified this information): 

Skrumble Network is reshaping freedom of speech and data privacy with a communication-centric blockchain due to our unique PoA architecture, formidable global community, robust proprietary chain, accomplished advisors, and top-tier exchanges. 

🤝PoA consensus model: Aligning incentives and encouraging active community participation

💪Innovative chain and base layer: Enabling other dApps to be built on top of Skrumble Network. First dApp- Ally already has 150k+ users with more coming soon

🙋🏻‍♂️Industry-leading advisors: Including Anthony Di Iorio (Co-Founder of Ethereum) and Jeff Pulver (Co-Founder of $3B Vonage), Jin Tu (CTO of Aion), Redouane Elkamhi, PhD (Lead of Fintech & Blockchain at the University of Toronto), Kevin Hsu (Partner, BlockVC)

🥇Trusted and premier exchanges. Won Huobi FastTrack vote last week with over 40 million votes. Counting Gate.io, Huobi Global, Bittrex, LBank, Coinbene etc as our exchange partners

🎖Ranked by ICO Drops for both top 5 global community and ROI in Q22018

🗳Won Huobi FastTrack with 40M+ votes on June 27 19

👑Massive dApp ecosystem coming soon with innovative token economic details

🦁DeFi component / partnership incoming 

Things to consider

Apart from the general risk that is inherent with the crypto space, consider the following when you DYOR on Skrumble Network. 

Competition

Few blockchain/crypto companies have tried to take a stab at the ‘secured communication’ aspect using blockchain. 

We have not yet heard the great success story in this space. 

This is good news and not so at the same time. 

It is good news because Skrumble Network could be THE project that penetrates the ‘success resistance’ in space. 

It is not so good news because the same reasons that lead to the failure of previous projects could plague Skrumble Network. 

Team changes

Exodus of team members from the Skrumble Network is a point of concern for us.  We are going to update this section with the response from the Skrumble Network team (without removing this concern from here). [Update: It seems that several are still involved in a part time basis, and they claim to have streamlined their operation. They are also actively working with the Juggernaut (JGN) team to implement the DeFi rewards system. For more details on JGN please see here: https://jgndefi.com/ 

Token supply

While the market cap is what matters the most in terms of the potential multiples, crypto space seems to be very touchy about the token supply. 

Token supply on Skrumble Network (SKM) is 1.5 Billion and might be looked at as quite high.

All tokens have been released to the market. In this space, the actual token supply amounts are becoming far less important. This was a pretty standard number in 2018 and was advised to the team. 

Team is expected to release more token utility and use cases as per the information alluded to by Eric and depending on the future use cases the market might respond positively. 

Moving to a more stable way of incentivizing operators may innovate the DeFI space beyond pure finance and into other industries as we rediscover how we share and perceive value. 

This is an overview of how we see DeFi becoming a crucial component going forward: https://medium.com/juggernaut-defi/skm-partners-with-jgn-to-develop-first-defi-communication-network-20ba9a3ccf38   

Conclusion

Our first impression is that Skrumble Network looks like a project with a lot of potential.  However, potential means nothing until it is ‘realized’. 

Will Skrumble Network realize its potential?  We do not know and that is the dilemma we have to ‘risk’ when dealing with micro-cap gems.

Thank you for reading and sharing this article. We appreciate you.

Stay safe and healthy!

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

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IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER

Everything in this article is an opinion, not an advice of any kind. This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and it is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, investment, legal or other professional advice. Please consult with a professional for specific advice.

We do not endorse or guarantee the accuracy of the information and claims made.

All product and company names are trademarks™ or registered® trademarks of their respective holders. Use of them does not imply any affiliation with or endorsement by them.

 

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5 questions we want XRP army to answer!

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xrp investing news

What follows is our opinion.  

Let’s not be hostile.  

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

We are simply posing some questions based on the information we came across and our own limited interpretation. 

It is quite possible that the sources we are referring to are at fault or our interpretation is. Either way, just answer these questions for us so that we can learn new things about XRP that we did not know.

Our readers know that we have been anti-XRP for a long time. We got trolled, mocked and called ignorant. Well, to each their own.

Our questions to the entire XRP army are simple, here they are:

Question 1: If crypto was to replace (or at least reshape) the entire banking business then what does a token whose sole business model is based on ‘accommodating’ banks have any future?

To put differently, when the world starts conducting commerce via text messages why do we need banks and Ripple which wants to serve banks?

Our basis for this question: 

In the future when we will start doing business with each other over text messages, wallets and email signatures, why do we need a payment gateway from Ripple?

We know that WeChat payment enables users to transact over chat.  Other companies are trying to catch up with this (primarily why Facebook was looking at creating its own currency, Libra).

However, once we have a digital dollar, we do not even need an outside stablecoin since one could, in theory, use the digital dollar directly.                  

Question 2: Why do you have to pay businesses to use XRP if it is so superior?

Our basis for this question: 

Financial Times reported that Ripple paid Moneygram to use Ripple technology.

Here is a direct quote:

It turns out Ripple has been paying a significant amount of subsidies cash to MoneyGram’s business since buying into the company in June. In the third and fourth quarter alone the Ripple benefits amounted to $11.3m.

What’s more, until a consultation with the SEC**, MoneyGram had been more than happy to book these cash flows as revenues. Due to the SEC guidance, however, it has now had to restate fourth-quarter guidance to account for Ripple payments as “contra expenses”.

XRP Twitter

Question 3: What is Ripple’s revenue worth without the ‘selling’ XRP?

Our basis for this question: 

The question seems to be answered by the XRP’s CEO himself. Here is an excerpt:

Asked if XRP was keeping everything cash flow positive at Ripple Labs, Mr Garlinghouse answered: “Well XRP is one source. I don’t know how to answer that because if you took away our software revenues, that would make us less profitable. If you took away all our XRP, that makes us less profitable. So I don’t think about it as one thing.” 

He clarified later: “We would not be profitable or cash flow positive [without selling XRP], I think I’ve said that. We have now.”

In our opinion, we think that the only reason Ripple (XRP) is even operational is because of the billions upon billions of XRP tokens that they keep dumping on the unassuming investors.  

Is this a wrong assumption?

Question 4: If Ripple does not need XRP, why is XRP needed?

Our basis for this question: 

This is based on our understanding that Ripple’s technology can be used by the businesses without having to use XRP.  It is recommended but not ‘required’.

Is this accurate?

Ripple’s solutions can work without XRP (its native token).  So, if XRP is not a utility token in strict sense, how are its creators able to mint and sell them at will without tripping any security laws?

Question 5: If Ripple [XRP] is to act as the ‘stable’ value while the transactions take place on Ripple network, why should anyone trust XRP which is backed by nothing instead of stablecoins like USDC that are backed by real world assets?

Our basis for this question: 

We would personally trust USDC more or even Facebook’s Libra rather than XRP which is backed by nada.

This is what Demelza’s opinion was during our interview:

“The main point is that if XRP were able to back their currency with financial assets and stabilize the purchasing power of the currency, then that would mean XRP coins should have no price appreciation. In fact, only the equity shares of Ripple Labs would profit from XRP’s adoption as a global reserve currency. But Ripple Labs is a privately held company. After fully understanding what XRP is, one realizes that XRP’s investment pitch does not make sense at all.”

Conclusion

We are trying to convince ourselves as to why we need Ripple in the crypto space if:

  • Future of payments is going to be ‘self-bank’ & over the chat
  • There are better stablecoins in the market 
  • Ripple itself as a technology doesn’t need its own native token, XRP

For this very reason, our opinion is that the money will flow out of XRP and the creators will keep dumping their bags into the market until the market can no longer absorb it and then it will be ‘lights out’.

We await for the XRP army to provide us insights that we did not know and our opinion changes…

Thank you for reading and sharing this article. We appreciate you.

Stay safe and healthy!

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

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IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER

Everything in this article is an opinion, not an advice of any kind. This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and it is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, investment, legal or other professional advice. Please consult with a professional for specific advice.

We do not endorse or guarantee the accuracy of the information and claims made.

All product and company names are trademarks™ or registered® trademarks of their respective holders. Use of them does not imply any affiliation with or endorsement by them.

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DeFi is Not the Holy Grail of Crypto, Here is Why

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Defi Yfi

DeFi has been making millionaires overnight and turning millionaires broke at the same speed.

Those who are on the bandwagon are rejoicing and those who either missed out or got burned by one of the fake projects are yelling ‘Scam’ at DeFi.

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

Our views are a bit different on the subject.

We do think DeFi is going to be a successful vertical among the blockchain (and crypto) solutions.

It will not be THE holy grail for the redemption of crypto status though.

Supply Chain, Crypto Lending, Insurance, Financial Services, Accounting, Identity, and many more verticals will collectively take blockchain and crypto to the masses.

Shifting our focus back on DeFi, here are some of our thoughts on the current state of DeFi. We do appreciate you dropping any insights you have that we might have missed.

DeFi is not a ponzi, here is why

If the DeFi project you are eyeing meets the following conditions, it is not a ponzi:

  • Audited code: Is the code on which DeFi runs is audited by reputable blockchain auditors? 
  • Reliable team: Who is behind the project? Do they have the know-how? Do they have a history of running scams or leading successful projects? 
  • Actual (sustainable) revenue model: What is the revenue model?  Is it too ‘scammy’ sounding or is it based on sound mathematical (and algorithmic) models?
  • No lock-in periods: Is it easy to get in and out of the platform without any restrictions or lock-in periods?

If you answered yes to ALL of these questions then there is a 100% certainty that the DeFi you are dealing with is not a ponzi (or scam).

However, a caveat is due here.  

Just because the project is not a ponzi doesn’t guarantee its success. Lot of well intentioned companies fail, that’s just the nature of business.

So, do not be one of those guys who sells their home to invest in crypto or DeFi (and that itself is not advice, just an opinion).

If you don’t want to hear it from us, listen to what Yearn Finance creator has to say about DeFi tokens (not all, obviously) having ZERO value.

Source: Crypto Culture

DeFi on Ethereum is not sustainable, here is why

Ethereum DefiMost, if not all, DeFi projects that are making the news today are on Ethereum. 

Ethereum is not a reliable blockchain when it is overloaded.  It gets choked and crashes.  

People are already complaining about exorbitant fees on the network due to the DeFi craze.  

DeFi itself as a crypto vertical is quite new and we are sure there are going to be a lot of ‘killer apps’ that will show up on the scene.

We are currently looking at the DeFi solutions that are being built on other blockchain networks (subscribe for free to know when we post that article).

PolkaDOT is not the end all be all, here is why

Polkadot Defi EcosystemMany are turning to the DOT as the next big thing after Ethereum.

It may very well be.

However, it has not had the chance to prove itself, not yet.

Ethereum’s resilience (or lack thereof) was revealed only during the ICO craze (and then later during CryptoKitties debacle).

What monsters lie in the DOT’s belly?  We don’t know and we would be weary of anyone who claims to know with certainty.

Other things to consider

Entire DeFi space is pretty new and we do not know what we do not know about potential vulnerabilities.

While this is true of Bitcoin itself, Bitcoin has withstood assault for over a decade and still stands stronger.  

Same cannot be said about DeFi.  

Can you imagine someone investing their life-savings into DeFi only to have funds taken because of a bug in the code?

Needless to say, many folks are exploiting the looping system in the DeFi where they take loan against their deposit then lend it back to the platform to take another loan against their deposit, and ad infinitum.

This is causing the DeFi systems to show more liquidity than what truly is.

Conclusion

We think DeFi is an exciting development, however, we still put it alongside ICO craziness for now.

When this space matures and we see reliable solutions emerge – DeFi has the potential to drive a trillion dollar vertical on its own.  

That is just the potential, all the trials and tribulations that we have to go through to get there is going to be one hell of a ride.  

So buckle up and enjoy (and please do not lose your shirts on the ride)!

Thank you for reading and sharing this article. We appreciate you.

Stay safe and healthy!

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We do not endorse or guarantee the accuracy of the information and claims made.

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