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Devaluation of the US Dollar Could Decimate Savers! Strategies to Hedge Risk

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Devaluation of Currency

Devaluation of the US Dollar

Quiz: Will devaluation of the US dollar impact your financial life?
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What to expect in this article?

  • What is devaluation of currency
  • How devaluation of currency impacts us
  • Strategies to hedge against the currency devaluation

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

There is an apparent disconnect between Wall Street and Mainstreet.

This divide has not been as apparent and blatant as it has during this COVID crisis.  

As the number of unemployment claims are rising to levels never seen before, Wall Street is rallying at full swing.

In the middle of this disparity and economic unrest, some economists are warning us to brace yet another crisis called Devaluation of Currency.

What is devaluation of currency?

InflationDevaluation of currency is essentially reducing the value of currency.  

This can be done through:

  1. Printing more money:  When supply increases, price falls.  This simple economic principle applies to everything
  2. Policy makers decision:  Policy makers may decide to ‘devalue’ the currency to keep the country’s exports competitive.  The US is a heavy importer, so this strategy, if implemented, could hurt the US more than other countries
  3. Selling off reserves: A country could dispose its reserves that pegs the fiat and then set a new exchange rate for its own currency (the disposal of reserves to buy its own currency either by taking out of circulation or printing more)

Sometimes devaluation of currency is not voluntary.  

Look at countries like Argentina, Venezuela, etc., their currency devalued by multiple folds because their economy was deemed to be unsustainable.

Why devalue the currency?

Countries devalue their currency primarily for following reasons:

  • Exports

Let’s say if I export Saffron from India at 2 bottles per $1.  IF India devalues its currency by 50%, now I can get 4 Saffron bottles for $1.  

This drop in currency value encourages exports.

Countries like China, India and others who rely on exports (of goods and services) can reap greater economic benefit by devaluing its currency.

  • Trade Buffer

When a country notices that its imports far outweigh the exports, it can use the currency devaluation as a buffer measure to balance the trade equation.

Generally speaking, a weak currency encourages people to buy more from the nation (win for exports) and discourages people buying from outside the nation (a loss for imports).

  • Debt

Let’s say you owe me Indian Rupees 75,000, at the time of this writing, that would be around US$1000.  Let’s say, India devalues its currency to 50%.  

This means, I can still pay you back your Rs. 75,000 with $500.

While this strategy might not be great to service ‘outside’ debts that are denominated in foreign currency, it is a strategy used to service obligations within the country.

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

Devaluation of the USD in the wake of Yuan devaluation

The US is the number one importer in the world.  It ranks number two as an exporter.   

In theory, devaluation of its currency may help increase its export footprint.

However, due to recent devaluation of Chinese Yuan, the devaluation of the US dollar could work against the US, in the short term.

For one, devaluation of the US will simply equalize the impact of Chinese devaluation.  

Two, it will make the imports more expensive thus might encourage demand for home products thus reducing the reliance on Chinese imports in the first place.

In addition, as things become more expensive in dollar denomination consumer demand could see a sharp decline which will further slow down the economic recovery.

Why should I be worried about devaluation?

us dollar under threatAnyone holding their savings in the US dollars might have to pay attention to the possibility of devaluation of the US dollar.

If the US declares that it is devaluing its currency by 30% then your savings lose 30% value overnight.  

In reality, the fear might set into the market and crash the valuation even further.

For example, if you were planning to retire with your $100,000 savings and the government devalues the currency by 30%, all of a sudden your $100,000 will only buy you goods and services worth $70,000.

That is a huge blow for people who have meticulously planned the mileage of their savings.

Can the US devalue its currency?

In theory, yes.

The United States has adopted a Strong Dollar policy for over 3 decades now and this gives it the status of global reserve.

If President Trump were to shock the markets to make a mark in global trade, he could order to devalue the US dollar.

If we know anything about Trump, he is all about shocking the world.  So the realms of possibility of devaluing the US dollar are not out of the question.

Strategies to hedge against devaluation of currency

Lot of financial gurus and speculators are expecting the US government to use devaluation as a strategy to make good on its debt.

If this were to happen, you don’t want all of your life savings held up in the US dollar which could see a drop in its purchasing power.

Following assets have come to act as ‘hedge’ against any potential volatility in the US dollar value.

Real Estate

Real Estate cryptoWhile the market is currently hyped up in real estate, it still could offer a safe haven in the event of devaluation of USD.

For instance, if you bought a property for $200,000 today with a fixed interest rate, in the event the US dollar is devalued to say 30%, then someone coming into the market will have to pay $260,000. 

And because you have picked up the property for fixed interest, in theory, you could be paying lower interest compared to the rental costs in the post devaluation world.

This strategy may not work if the US undergoes a long recession as a result of devaluation and then falls into deflation (which will reverse the above strategy). 

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

Bitcoin

bitcoinMany financial veterans are turning to Bitcoin because of its deflationary supply and potential to change the financial markets forever.

Obviously, being a relatively new asset class, it is not a guaranteed safe-haven.  Although many believe Bitcoin to be Gold 2.0.

A small stake in Bitcoin could turn into ZERO or a 10x of investment.  No one knows which side the tide will turn.

Economic models based on demand and supply (and stock to flow ratio) suggest that Bitcoin has only one way to go: UP.   

Bitcoin has a history of proving economic models wrong and shocking the world. Will it go upward into millions or crash and burn into oblivion?  

Only time will tell.

Gold & Metals

Gold vs BitcoinWhile Bitcoin is considered money of the people and Gold has been regarded as the god’s money by Robert Kiyosaki. 

Silver is considered an underdog at this point.  

Between gold & silver, the metal duo has been long acting as a safe-haven for market volatilities.

Obviously, you cannot compare Gold and Silver trajectory to that of stock markets or bitcoin since these metals are designed to act as ‘hedge’ not as wealth multipliers.

Stocks

MarketIf looked at the stock market from a macro level, it has been on an upward trajectory, generally speaking.  

Even with the occasional recessions and rare depressions, Stock market has in general kept an upward trend from a macro perspective.

Within the stock market, there are some up and coming industries where the returns could be extraordinarily high, like for example:

Blockchain industry: Companies involved with blockchain space could see a great momentum in the coming decade.

Cannabis industry: Cannabis industry is slowly spreading its claws and becoming 

mainstream in the similar fashion how Liqor once did.

5G: Beyond the conspiracies surrounding 5G, we know that this is the next phase of the 

internet evolution and

BioTech: Whether it is advancing surgeries, or reversing age with stemcell inventions or 

simply decoding the DNA to make medicine more personal, BioTech is a place where the next level of innovation will take place. 

Artificial Intelligence: We are clubbing Augmented Reality, Artificial Intelligence into one basket and I think this space could hand out handsome returns.

Just because we do not invest in stocks doesn’t mean they are not a viable investment vehicle.  DYOR and see if you can find some gems.

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

Few things to remember

Do not over-correct

You do not want to find yourself in a situation where you invest 100% into any one type of asset and that asset tanks in value.

For instance, if you invest 100% of your fiat into Bitcoin, what happens if Bitcoin crashes?

If you invest 100% in real estate, what if we face deflation instead of inflation and the price tanks or paying mortgages becomes too expensive?  

You will then be forced to service a loan that might be higher than the rent you receive.

Point is, you want to hedge into different asset classes so that you are not putting all of your life savings in one type.

Safety net

Whether we face extreme inflation or deflation, we all need cash on hand to meet our daily needs.

You cannot easily sell your gold or real estate if you need cash flow. Bitcoin’s volatility makes it a bad choice to be looking to liquidate in the time of emergency.

You always want to keep a certain amount of money in liquid fiat to meet your immediate needs while you secure your financial future with an appropriate hedging model.

In conclusion

The topic of devaluation of currency is one that we all need to be at least aware of.  

Having an hedging plan to withstand any surprises introduced by market volatility is important so that you are not wiped away, financially speaking.

The above hedging tactics are based on what we are looking to do personally. We cannot tell you what to do.  

Thank you for reading and sharing this article. We appreciate you.

Thank you for reading and sharing this article. Stay safe and healthy!

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER

Everything in this article is an opinion, not an advice of any kind. This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and it is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, investment, legal or other professional advice. Please consult with a professional for specific advice.

We do not endorse or guarantee the accuracy of the information and claims made.

All product and company names are trademarks™ or registered® trademarks of their respective holders. Use of them does not imply any affiliation with or endorsement by them.

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5 questions we want XRP army to answer!

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xrp investing news

What follows is our opinion.  

Let’s not be hostile.  

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

We are simply posing some questions based on the information we came across and our own limited interpretation. 

It is quite possible that the sources we are referring to are at fault or our interpretation is. Either way, just answer these questions for us so that we can learn new things about XRP that we did not know.

Our readers know that we have been anti-XRP for a long time. We got trolled, mocked and called ignorant. Well, to each their own.

Our questions to the entire XRP army are simple, here they are:

Question 1: If crypto was to replace (or at least reshape) the entire banking business then what does a token whose sole business model is based on ‘accommodating’ banks have any future?

To put differently, when the world starts conducting commerce via text messages why do we need banks and Ripple which wants to serve banks?

Our basis for this question: 

In the future when we will start doing business with each other over text messages, wallets and email signatures, why do we need a payment gateway from Ripple?

We know that WeChat payment enables users to transact over chat.  Other companies are trying to catch up with this (primarily why Facebook was looking at creating its own currency, Libra).

However, once we have a digital dollar, we do not even need an outside stablecoin since one could, in theory, use the digital dollar directly.                  

Question 2: Why do you have to pay businesses to use XRP if it is so superior?

Our basis for this question: 

Financial Times reported that Ripple paid Moneygram to use Ripple technology.

Here is a direct quote:

It turns out Ripple has been paying a significant amount of subsidies cash to MoneyGram’s business since buying into the company in June. In the third and fourth quarter alone the Ripple benefits amounted to $11.3m.

What’s more, until a consultation with the SEC**, MoneyGram had been more than happy to book these cash flows as revenues. Due to the SEC guidance, however, it has now had to restate fourth-quarter guidance to account for Ripple payments as “contra expenses”.

XRP Twitter

Question 3: What is Ripple’s revenue worth without the ‘selling’ XRP?

Our basis for this question: 

The question seems to be answered by the XRP’s CEO himself. Here is an excerpt:

Asked if XRP was keeping everything cash flow positive at Ripple Labs, Mr Garlinghouse answered: “Well XRP is one source. I don’t know how to answer that because if you took away our software revenues, that would make us less profitable. If you took away all our XRP, that makes us less profitable. So I don’t think about it as one thing.” 

He clarified later: “We would not be profitable or cash flow positive [without selling XRP], I think I’ve said that. We have now.”

In our opinion, we think that the only reason Ripple (XRP) is even operational is because of the billions upon billions of XRP tokens that they keep dumping on the unassuming investors.  

Is this a wrong assumption?

Question 4: If Ripple does not need XRP, why is XRP needed?

Our basis for this question: 

This is based on our understanding that Ripple’s technology can be used by the businesses without having to use XRP.  It is recommended but not ‘required’.

Is this accurate?

Ripple’s solutions can work without XRP (its native token).  So, if XRP is not a utility token in strict sense, how are its creators able to mint and sell them at will without tripping any security laws?

Question 5: If Ripple [XRP] is to act as the ‘stable’ value while the transactions take place on Ripple network, why should anyone trust XRP which is backed by nothing instead of stablecoins like USDC that are backed by real world assets?

Our basis for this question: 

We would personally trust USDC more or even Facebook’s Libra rather than XRP which is backed by nada.

This is what Demelza’s opinion was during our interview:

“The main point is that if XRP were able to back their currency with financial assets and stabilize the purchasing power of the currency, then that would mean XRP coins should have no price appreciation. In fact, only the equity shares of Ripple Labs would profit from XRP’s adoption as a global reserve currency. But Ripple Labs is a privately held company. After fully understanding what XRP is, one realizes that XRP’s investment pitch does not make sense at all.”

Conclusion

We are trying to convince ourselves as to why we need Ripple in the crypto space if:

  • Future of payments is going to be ‘self-bank’ & over the chat
  • There are better stablecoins in the market 
  • Ripple itself as a technology doesn’t need its own native token, XRP

For this very reason, our opinion is that the money will flow out of XRP and the creators will keep dumping their bags into the market until the market can no longer absorb it and then it will be ‘lights out’.

We await for the XRP army to provide us insights that we did not know and our opinion changes…

Thank you for reading and sharing this article. We appreciate you.

Stay safe and healthy!

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

best Crypto Tax Software

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER

Everything in this article is an opinion, not an advice of any kind. This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and it is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, investment, legal or other professional advice. Please consult with a professional for specific advice.

We do not endorse or guarantee the accuracy of the information and claims made.

All product and company names are trademarks™ or registered® trademarks of their respective holders. Use of them does not imply any affiliation with or endorsement by them.

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DeFi is Not the Holy Grail of Crypto, Here is Why

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Defi Yfi

DeFi has been making millionaires overnight and turning millionaires broke at the same speed.

Those who are on the bandwagon are rejoicing and those who either missed out or got burned by one of the fake projects are yelling ‘Scam’ at DeFi.

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

Our views are a bit different on the subject.

We do think DeFi is going to be a successful vertical among the blockchain (and crypto) solutions.

It will not be THE holy grail for the redemption of crypto status though.

Supply Chain, Crypto Lending, Insurance, Financial Services, Accounting, Identity, and many more verticals will collectively take blockchain and crypto to the masses.

Shifting our focus back on DeFi, here are some of our thoughts on the current state of DeFi. We do appreciate you dropping any insights you have that we might have missed.

DeFi is not a ponzi, here is why

If the DeFi project you are eyeing meets the following conditions, it is not a ponzi:

  • Audited code: Is the code on which DeFi runs is audited by reputable blockchain auditors? 
  • Reliable team: Who is behind the project? Do they have the know-how? Do they have a history of running scams or leading successful projects? 
  • Actual (sustainable) revenue model: What is the revenue model?  Is it too ‘scammy’ sounding or is it based on sound mathematical (and algorithmic) models?
  • No lock-in periods: Is it easy to get in and out of the platform without any restrictions or lock-in periods?

If you answered yes to ALL of these questions then there is a 100% certainty that the DeFi you are dealing with is not a ponzi (or scam).

However, a caveat is due here.  

Just because the project is not a ponzi doesn’t guarantee its success. Lot of well intentioned companies fail, that’s just the nature of business.

So, do not be one of those guys who sells their home to invest in crypto or DeFi (and that itself is not advice, just an opinion).

If you don’t want to hear it from us, listen to what Yearn Finance creator has to say about DeFi tokens (not all, obviously) having ZERO value.

Source: Crypto Culture

DeFi on Ethereum is not sustainable, here is why

Ethereum DefiMost, if not all, DeFi projects that are making the news today are on Ethereum. 

Ethereum is not a reliable blockchain when it is overloaded.  It gets choked and crashes.  

People are already complaining about exorbitant fees on the network due to the DeFi craze.  

DeFi itself as a crypto vertical is quite new and we are sure there are going to be a lot of ‘killer apps’ that will show up on the scene.

We are currently looking at the DeFi solutions that are being built on other blockchain networks (subscribe for free to know when we post that article).

PolkaDOT is not the end all be all, here is why

Polkadot Defi EcosystemMany are turning to the DOT as the next big thing after Ethereum.

It may very well be.

However, it has not had the chance to prove itself, not yet.

Ethereum’s resilience (or lack thereof) was revealed only during the ICO craze (and then later during CryptoKitties debacle).

What monsters lie in the DOT’s belly?  We don’t know and we would be weary of anyone who claims to know with certainty.

Other things to consider

Entire DeFi space is pretty new and we do not know what we do not know about potential vulnerabilities.

While this is true of Bitcoin itself, Bitcoin has withstood assault for over a decade and still stands stronger.  

Same cannot be said about DeFi.  

Can you imagine someone investing their life-savings into DeFi only to have funds taken because of a bug in the code?

Needless to say, many folks are exploiting the looping system in the DeFi where they take loan against their deposit then lend it back to the platform to take another loan against their deposit, and ad infinitum.

This is causing the DeFi systems to show more liquidity than what truly is.

Conclusion

We think DeFi is an exciting development, however, we still put it alongside ICO craziness for now.

When this space matures and we see reliable solutions emerge – DeFi has the potential to drive a trillion dollar vertical on its own.  

That is just the potential, all the trials and tribulations that we have to go through to get there is going to be one hell of a ride.  

So buckle up and enjoy (and please do not lose your shirts on the ride)!

Thank you for reading and sharing this article. We appreciate you.

Stay safe and healthy!

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

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IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER

Everything in this article is an opinion, not an advice of any kind. This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and it is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, investment, legal or other professional advice. Please consult with a professional for specific advice.

We do not endorse or guarantee the accuracy of the information and claims made.

All product and company names are trademarks™ or registered® trademarks of their respective holders. Use of them does not imply any affiliation with or endorsement by them.

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These forgotten gems could resurge during this bull run

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Forgotten Crypto Gems

Forgotten Crypto Gems

Disclaimer:  We own few of these tokens and there is no guarantee that these coins will actually resurge. Everything you are about to read is an opinion.  Our intention is to put some projects that have taken the backseat in recent times.

If you are curious as to why we give away so much for free – please check this Crypto Freebies page.

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

Crypto market is quite weird.  

It deceives the onlooker as if it’s learning from its past mistakes but it’s really not.

For instance, during the 2017 ICO craze, anyone could pitch any half-assed idea and raise millions from unassuming investors.

This bull run in 2020 is all about DeFi and Data Oracles.

Just slap ‘DeFi’ to any project without an actual product or even a single line of code written and you will make a boatload of money.

Because the ‘pump and dump’ practices are not closely monitored in the crypto space, many YouTubers are dumping their bags on their viewers.

It is so blatant that the YouTuber will start out saying “I loaded my bags with this” and then go on about all the mooning stuff and throw in a small disclaimer somewhere and voila. 

They make hundreds of thousands or even millions each day. And we are not exaggerating about that.

You contrast that with what you find here.  

We are giving away all the information we are digging up for free (including our Top 5 tokens for the next decade that we hope will 100x).  If you are curious as to why we give away so much for free – please check this Crypto Freebies page.

We recently started the microcap gems series where we are looking to dig up projects with a decent team, an actual product and lower market cap (usually under $5 Million, sometimes even less).

Because of the $$ limit on the microcap gems, there are some projects that we couldn’t cover in that series.

However, we wanted to float these projects in front of the discernible audience (and newbies who may not have looked into these).

This article’s sole aim is to ‘point’ you to these projects. It will not be a deep dive and as always we encourage you DYOR before investing.

Dragon Chain

Dragon Chain price prediction“Dragonchain is an enterprise and start up ready platform to build flexible and scalable blockchain applications.”

Like most projects we pick, Dragon Chain has solutions ready for business today.  This is not a pipedream or a 15 year roadmap.  That is why we think this is a forgotten gem.

This project is still going strong in the background in terms of development and traction.  They released a video in August about how their anti-fraud and transparency proof systems are used by an exchange.

Website: https://dragonchain.com/

Ticker: DRGN

ATH: $5.27

ATL: .02

Current Price: $0.079

Cindicator

Cindicator CND price prediction

“Cindicator builds predictive analytics by merging collective intelligence and machine learning models. Cindicator’s analytical products are available exclusively to holders of CND tokens.”

Market pays top dollar for prediction data.  Cindicator is one of the first projects to build an AI based market intelligence platform on blockchain.

Cindicator boasts over 135,000 analysts from over 135 countries.

In our opinion, Cindicator is a viable project, although it has not gained traction.

Website: https://cindicator.com/

Ticker: CND

ATH: $0.347

ATL: $0.002

Current price: $0.011

FunFair

Funfair Price Prediction

“FunFair is a revolutionary blockchain technology platform that provides low cost, high quality, transparent casino experiences that are Guaranteed Fair.”

The space that FunFair is targeting is a massive one and is expected to grown even more in the coming years.

Ticker: FUN

ATH: $0.33

ATL: $0.0010

Current price: $0.0052

This page will be updated with future ‘forgotten gems’, so please consider subscribing

Acronyms used: 

ATH: All Time High

ATL: All Time Low

DYOR: Do Your Own Research

Thank you for reading and sharing this article. We appreciate you.

Stay safe and healthy!

Top 5 Cryptocurrencies 2020

best Crypto Tax Software

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER

Everything in this article is an opinion, not an advice of any kind. This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and it is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, investment, legal or other professional advice. Please consult with a professional for specific advice.

We do not endorse or guarantee the accuracy of the information and claims made.

All product and company names are trademarks™ or registered® trademarks of their respective holders. Use of them does not imply any affiliation with or endorsement by them.

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